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WOC Long 2013 Women: The Full Analysis!

w17-18b

The WOC Long distance is the most important long distance race of the year, and therefore deserves an in-depth analysis. This comprehensive analysis of the Women’s race on WOC Long distance 2013  has been made based on spending nearly 2 hours with the course setter and several hours more with the GPS data and split times.

The women’s race is considered here as the route choice challenges worked a lot better in the women’s race than in the men’s race. In the men’s race there were smaller differences for the different route choice alternatives – partly because the men are stronger and run faster direct in the terrain. Also there was one long leg in which only one alternative was run. A separate analysis of the men’s race might follow later – there were some interesting points here as well.

Overall conclusion

Simone Niggli wins a very clear gold despite choosing the wrong route choice on the long leg to 11

The analysis is long with more details than most of the readers probably care about – therefore an overall conclusion here at the start.

  • Simone Niggli wins a very clear gold despite choosing the wrong route choice on the long leg to 11 (loosing here nearly 2 minutes) – and despite a 50 second mistake on the last loop at control 19. The rest of her race is mostly excellent, just loosing some seconds due to uncertainty and safe route choices in a few places.
  • Tove Alexandersson wins silver despite choosing the wrong route choice on the long leg to 11 (loosing here more than 2 minutes) . Her speed was not the same as Niggli’s (“- I did no big mistakes, but I was really tired early in the race, so I have really been fighting”), and gold was not really in her reach.
  • Lena Eliasson wins a medal due to her fantastic execution on the long leg to 11 where she is 40 seconds faster than the second fastest

  • Lena Eliasson wins a medal due to her fantastic execution on the long leg to 11 where she is 40 seconds faster than the second fastest. Eliasson did not really have the speed for gold in the rest of the course, but due to the great long leg she could still have manged gold if she had avoided the mistakes (1:20 to 14, 0:30 to 22, several smaller)  and the passive running on the last loop and the long parth-route choices on some of the legs on the first loop (to control 2 and 7). However, the chances for doing more mistakes by going more direct on the first loop were bigger, and probably gold would have been impossible also for Eliasson on this day. Silver would, however, have been very possible – there were many places on the last loop to pick those seconds.
  • Minna Kauppi lost the medals by doing the wrong choice on the route choice leg to 7 (loosing 0:40), bad execution and probably not the best route choice on the long leg to 11 (loosing 1:20) and the nearly 2 minute mistake to control 18. Also, she did not really have the speed on the last loop, but a medal was well within reach, and with perfect technique gold might even have been possible.
  • Mari Fasting is the last runner who managed to keep the performance of Niggli for significant parts of the race, but unstable performance in other parts of the race

Below you find the complete analysis including a lot of illustrations. If you are of the very impatient type, you might rather take a look at the quick-analysis here – but it is at least worth to scroll down and take a look at control 7, 11, 18 and 19.

About the analysis

In the analysis below, split times and standings are given for each leg. The runners who finished Top 6 are shown for each leg with red color (Top 3) or dark red color (Place 4-6).  Time losses larger than 25 seconds are shown in bold. For each leg the map of the leg without routes is shown first. For legs where there are interesting route choices or other interesting aspects, additional illustrations are included. Thanks a lot to the course setter Samuli Launiainen for comments and discussions.

Women Long Distance Final: S-1

Women Long Distance Final: S-1 (Legtimes)

1. Lena Eliasson 3:25 +0:00
2. Catherine Taylor 3:26 +0:01
3. Minna Kauppi 3:27 +0:02
4. Tove Alexandersson 3:28 +0:03
5. Simone Niggli 3:29 +0:04
6. Emma Johansson 3:32 +0:07
7. Eva Jurenikova 3:32 +0:07
8. Tatiana Ryabkina 3:32 +0:07
9. Ida Bobach 3:37 +0:12
10. Karoliina Sundberg 3:39 +0:14
12. Anni-Maija Fincke 3:45 +0:20
Women Long Distance Final: S-1 (Total times)

1. Lena Eliasson 3:25 +0:00
2. Catherine Taylor 3:26 +0:01
3. Minna Kauppi 3:27 +0:02
4. Tove Alexandersson 3:28 +0:03
5. Simone Niggli 3:29 +0:04
6. Emma Johansson 3:32 +0:07
7. Eva Jurenikova 3:32 +0:07
8. Tatiana Ryabkina 3:32 +0:07
9. Ida Bobach 3:37 +0:12
10. Karoliina Sundberg 3:39 +0:14
12. Anni-Maija Fincke 3:45 +0:20

Lena Eliasson starts best – but no big differences between the top runners. Fincke looses 20 seconds due to uncertainty into control.
WS-1

Women Long Distance Final: 1-2

Women Long Distance Final: 1-2 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 7:12 +0:00
2. Minna Kauppi 7:26 +0:14
3. Catherine Taylor 7:29 +0:17
4. Tove Alexandersson 7:30 +0:18
5. Emma Johansson 7:39 +0:27
6. Tatiana Ryabkina 7:39 +0:27
7. Lena Eliasson 7:42 +0:30
8. Mari Fasting 7:43 +0:31
9. Anni-Maija Fincke 8:02 +0:50
10. Tone Wigemyr 8:09 +0:57
Women Long Distance Final: 1-2 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 10:41 +0:00
2. Minna Kauppi 10:53 +0:12
3. Catherine Taylor 10:55 +0:14
4. Tove Alexandersson 10:58 +0:17
5. Lena Eliasson 11:07 +0:26
6. Emma Johansson 11:11 +0:30
7. Tatiana Ryabkina 11:11 +0:30
8. Mari Fasting 11:39 +0:58
9. Anni-Maija Fincke 11:47 +1:06
10. Tone Wigemyr 11:58 +1:17

The first long leg. Niggli has higher running speed and is 14 seconds faster than Kauppi who has second best split time. Eliasson looses 30 seconds – Fincke 50. Eliasson looses the time due to following her strategy of running around on paths wherever possible – before she takes the small loop around on the path at the end of the leg she has had the same speed as Niggli (see below). Fincke and Ryabkina run similar route choice to Niggli, and loose time due to lower speed.

W1-2

Women Long Distance Final: 2-3

Women Long Distance Final: 2-3 (Legtimes)

1. Minna Kauppi 1:50 +0:00
2. Eva Jurenikova 1:50 +0:00
3. Catherine Taylor 1:55 +0:05
4. Tove Alexandersson 1:59 +0:09
5. Gabija Ražaityte 1:59 +0:09
6. Simone Niggli 2:02 +0:12
7. Anastasia Tikhonova 2:02 +0:12
8. Emma Johansson 2:03 +0:13
9. Inga Dambe 2:05 +0:15
10. Mari Fasting 2:07 +0:17
18. Tatiana Ryabkina 2:17 +0:27
24. Lena Eliasson 2:21 +0:31
32. Anni-Maija Fincke 2:28 +0:38
Women Long Distance Final: 2-3 (Total times)

1. Minna Kauppi 12:43 +0:00
2. Simone Niggli 12:43 +0:00
3. Catherine Taylor 12:50 +0:07
4. Tove Alexandersson 12:57 +0:14
5. Emma Johansson 13:14 +0:31
6. Lena Eliasson 13:28 +0:45
7. Tatiana Ryabkina 13:28 +0:45
8. Mari Fasting 13:46 +1:03
9. Karoliina Sundberg 14:11 +1:28
10. Tone Wigemyr 14:11 +1:28
11. Anni-Maija Fincke 14:15 +1:32

Small route choice leg where Niggli goes around to be more secure and looses 12 seconds due to this choice. Eliasson, Riabkina and Fincke on the other hand do mistakes by going direct. Jurenikova has fastest split time by going direct – and Kauppi is just behind, also going direct.

The course setter comments that the thought here is to challenge the runners with different route choice options. “- It is nearly easier to make these kind of micro route choices than long route choice legs in this terrain.”

At this point in the race Kauppi and Niggli are in shared lead – Eliasson is already 45 seconds behind.
W2-3

Women Long Distance Final: 3-4

Women Long Distance Final: 3-4 (Legtimes)

1. Lena Eliasson 2:23 +0:00
2. Simone Niggli 2:28 +0:05
3. Eva Jurenikova 2:35 +0:12
4. Natalia Efimova 2:35 +0:12
5. Minna Kauppi 2:36 +0:13
6. Tove Alexandersson 2:38 +0:15
7. Ida Bobach 2:39 +0:16
8. Tatiana Ryabkina 2:40 +0:17
9. Anni-Maija Fincke 2:43 +0:20
10. Amélie Chataing 2:43 +0:20
Women Long Distance Final: 3-4 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 15:11 +0:00
2. Minna Kauppi 15:19 +0:08
3. Tove Alexandersson 15:35 +0:24
4. Catherine Taylor 15:50 +0:39
5. Lena Eliasson 15:51 +0:40
6. Emma Johansson 16:05 +0:54
7. Tatiana Ryabkina 16:08 +0:57
8. Mari Fasting 16:38 +1:27
9. Anni-Maija Fincke 16:58 +1:47
10. Ida Bobach 16:59 +1:48

Some go direct – some take the path – but no big differences here. Alexandersson makes a mistake into the control.

W3-4

W3-4b

Women Long Distance Final: 4-5

Women Long Distance Final: 4-5 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 1:09 +0:00
2. Natalia Efimova 1:12 +0:03
3. Lena Eliasson 1:13 +0:04
4. Tatiana Ryabkina 1:16 +0:07
5. Eva Jurenikova 1:17 +0:08
6. Tove Alexandersson 1:18 +0:09
7. Minna Kauppi 1:19 +0:10
8. Anni-Maija Fincke 1:19 +0:10
9. Ida Bobach 1:19 +0:10
10. Tone Wigemyr 1:20 +0:11
Women Long Distance Final: 4-5 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 16:20 +0:00
2. Minna Kauppi 16:38 +0:18
3. Tove Alexandersson 16:53 +0:33
4. Lena Eliasson 17:04 +0:44
5. Catherine Taylor 17:16 +0:56
6. Tatiana Ryabkina 17:24 +1:04
7. Emma Johansson 17:35 +1:15
8. Mari Fasting 18:16 +1:56
9. Anni-Maija Fincke 18:17 +1:57
10. Ida Bobach 18:18 +1:58

No big differences or time losses for this leg. All go fairly direct.

Women Long Distance Final: 5-6

Women Long Distance Final: 5-6 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 2:27 +0:00
2. Natalia Efimova 2:28 +0:01
3. Minna Kauppi 2:35 +0:08
4. Lena Eliasson 2:39 +0:12
5. Anni-Maija Fincke 2:40 +0:13
6. Tove Alexandersson 2:43 +0:16
7. Eva Jurenikova 2:44 +0:17
8. Sara Luescher 2:47 +0:20
9. Catherine Taylor 2:48 +0:21
10. Tatiana Ryabkina 2:48 +0:21
Women Long Distance Final: 5-6 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 18:47 +0:00
2. Minna Kauppi 19:13 +0:26
3. Tove Alexandersson 19:36 +0:49
4. Lena Eliasson 19:43 +0:56
5. Catherine Taylor 20:04 +1:17
6. Tatiana Ryabkina 20:12 +1:25
7. Emma Johansson 20:36 +1:49
8. Anni-Maija Fincke 20:57 +2:10
9. Ida Bobach 21:06 +2:19
10. Mari Fasting 21:06 +2:19

Again a leg with no big differences in route choice – all go fairly direct. However, Niggli has the best leg time for the second leg in a row and starts building up a lead – now 26 seconds ahead of Kauppi. Alexandersson and Ryabkina run slower than Niggli – probably orienteering more carefully – and loose 16/21 seconds.

Women Long Distance Final: 6-7

Women Long Distance Final: 6-7 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 8:06 +0:00
2. Tatiana Ryabkina 8:12 +0:06
3. Natalia Efimova 8:13 +0:07
4. Tove Alexandersson 8:19 +0:13
5. Anni-Maija Fincke 8:24 +0:18
6. Lena Eliasson 8:47 +0:41
7. Minna Kauppi 8:49 +0:43
8. Mari Fasting 8:54 +0:48
9. Emma Johansson 8:59 +0:53
10. Aija Skrastina 9:02 +0:56
Women Long Distance Final: 6-7 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 26:53 +0:00
2. Tove Alexandersson 27:55 +1:02
3. Minna Kauppi 28:02 +1:09
4. Tatiana Ryabkina 28:24 +1:31
5. Lena Eliasson 28:30 +1:37
6. Anni-Maija Fincke 29:21 +2:28
7. Emma Johansson 29:35 +2:42
8. Catherine Taylor 29:57 +3:04
9. Mari Fasting 30:00 +3:07
10. Ida Bobach 30:34 +3:41

The leg from 6 to 7 is the first interesting route choice leg. The fastest choice is the choice of Niggli, Ryabkina, Alexandersson and Fincke –  going right on the path the first part of the leg, and then through the terrain at the north side of the lakes. Eliasson follows here strategy of going allong on paths and roads – loosing 41 seconds to Niggli after running around 180 meters longer. Kauppi runs south of the marshes and has to take both soft ground and some extra up and down – loosing a few seconds more than Eliasson. The direct route is run by Wigemyr who looses surprisingly much time here – most of it in the uphill after the marsh and also a bit by crossing the marsh. Jurenikova runs hard left – loosing more than a minute.

The mapmaker comments that these curves along the route of Kauppi are really 5 meter high – going up and down here costs power. In the discussions with the course setter we discuss that the men would probably have been able to run very good times using a direct route on this leg – the marsh between the lakes is not very slow and wet.
W6-7b

W6-7c

W6-7d

Women Long Distance Final: 7-8

Women Long Distance Final: 7-8 (Legtimes)

1. Minna Kauppi 1:08 +0:00
2. Sara Luescher 1:09 +0:01
3. Emma Johansson 1:10 +0:02
4. Eva Jurenikova 1:11 +0:03
5. Tove Alexandersson 1:13 +0:05
6. Tatiana Ryabkina 1:13 +0:05
7. Catherine Taylor 1:13 +0:05
8. Ida Bobach 1:13 +0:05
9. Tone Wigemyr 1:13 +0:05
10. Anastasia Tikhonova 1:13 +0:05
13. Simone Niggli 1:14 +0:06
14. Anni-Maija Fincke 1:14 +0:06
16. Lena Eliasson 1:15 +0:07
Women Long Distance Final: 7-8 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 28:07 +0:00
2. Tove Alexandersson 29:08 +1:01
3. Minna Kauppi 29:10 +1:03
4. Tatiana Ryabkina 29:37 +1:30
5. Lena Eliasson 29:45 +1:38
6. Anni-Maija Fincke 30:35 +2:28
7. Emma Johansson 30:45 +2:38
8. Catherine Taylor 31:10 +3:03
9. Mari Fasting 31:20 +3:13
10. Ida Bobach 31:47 +3:40

No big differences here. Note that Niggli’s lead to Eliasson is now up to more than 1:30.

Women Long Distance Final: 8-9

Women Long Distance Final: 8-9 (Legtimes)

1. Lena Eliasson 3:24 +0:00
2. Natalia Efimova 3:27 +0:03
3. Simone Niggli 3:30 +0:06
4. Anni-Maija Fincke 3:30 +0:06
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 3:32 +0:08
6. Catherine Taylor 3:32 +0:08
7. Tove Alexandersson 3:33 +0:09
8. Minna Kauppi 3:37 +0:13
9. Eva Jurenikova 3:38 +0:14
10. Emma Johansson 3:40 +0:16
Women Long Distance Final: 8-9 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 31:37 +0:00
2. Tove Alexandersson 32:41 +1:04
3. Minna Kauppi 32:47 +1:10
4. Lena Eliasson 33:09 +1:32
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 33:09 +1:32
6. Anni-Maija Fincke 34:05 +2:28
7. Emma Johansson 34:25 +2:48
8. Catherine Taylor 34:42 +3:05
9. Mari Fasting 35:06 +3:29
10. Eva Jurenikova 35:31 +3:54

Another leg with small differences.  A tiny uncertainty into the control for Niggli, loosing her some seconds.

Women Long Distance Final: 9-10

Women Long Distance Final: 9-10 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 0:56 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 0:59 +0:03
3. Natalia Efimova 0:59 +0:03
4. Tove Alexandersson 1:00 +0:04
5. Minna Kauppi 1:01 +0:05
6. Anni-Maija Fincke 1:01 +0:05
7. Emma Johansson 1:01 +0:05
8. Tatiana Ryabkina 1:02 +0:06
9. Catherine Taylor 1:02 +0:06
10. Mari Fasting 1:02 +0:06
Women Long Distance Final: 9-10 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 32:33 +0:00
2. Tove Alexandersson 33:41 +1:08
3. Minna Kauppi 33:48 +1:15
4. Lena Eliasson 34:08 +1:35
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 34:11 +1:38
6. Anni-Maija Fincke 35:06 +2:33
7. Emma Johansson 35:26 +2:53
8. Catherine Taylor 35:44 +3:11
9. Mari Fasting 36:08 +3:35
10. Eva Jurenikova 36:35 +4:02

Again, only small differences while preparing for the long leg.

Women Long Distance Final: 10-11

Women Long Distance Final: 10-11 (Legtimes)

1. Lena Eliasson 12:57 +0:00
2. Mari Fasting 13:37 +0:40
3. Minna Kauppi 14:18 +1:21
4. Alison Crocker 14:18 +1:21
5. Simone Niggli 14:29 +1:32
6. Tatiana Ryabkina 14:35 +1:38
7. Sara Luescher 14:52 +1:55
8. Tove Alexandersson 14:53 +1:56
9. Emma Johansson 15:04 +2:07
10. Tone Wigemyr 15:09 +2:12
14. Anni-Maija Fincke 15:21 +2:24
Women Long Distance Final: 10-11 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 47:02 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 47:05 +0:03
3. Minna Kauppi 48:06 +1:04
4. Tove Alexandersson 48:34 +1:32
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 48:46 +1:44
6. Mari Fasting 49:45 +2:43
7. Anni-Maija Fincke 50:27 +3:25
8. Emma Johansson 50:30 +3:28
9. Catherine Taylor 51:41 +4:39
10. Ida Bobach 51:56 +4:54

The 2 km long leg from 10 to 11 was the decisive leg in the women’s race. Eliasson wins the leg with 40 seconds – and there is more than 2 minutes down to number 10 on the leg (Tone Wigemyr).

  • Left (3000 meters): Eliasson along with only three other runners chooses the long route around to the left on the road. Compared to the rest of their races, all three going around on the road gain time on this leg (Eliasson, Alison Crocker – 4th best on the leg, Helen Palmer would have gained time, except for her making a mistake into the control). This is also a route choice which is easier to execute than the alternatives.
  • Direct (2200 meters): Mari Fasting has the second best split time on the leg going direct. Fasting is stronger in the forest than on the road, and might not have managed to run faster by going around on the road. Kauppi also goes direct, but looses time in the middle part of the leg – in total 41 seconds to Fasting on the same route choice. Still Kauppi has the third best split on the leg. Fincke also goes direct, but with very bad execution on the middle part of the leg – and also a mistake into the control – in total loosing 2:24.
  • Right (2700-2900 meters): There are several alternatives to the right – none are optimal. All route choices to the right will loose you at least 40-50 seconds – and execution is also more difficult. The main reason is that it is nearly as long as going all the way around on the road to the left, but you loose the advantage of running on the path most of the leg.  Niggli, Ryabkina and Alexandersson all run different alternatives to the right and loose between 1:30 and 2:30 to Eliasson.

Observe how Niggli’s lead to Eliasson is reduced from more than 1:30 and down to 3 seconds.

The mapmaker comments that the idea here was that different runners should use the route which suited their abilities best – for good road runners the long left variant should be the best.

[Click the illustration to see it full page]

women10-11-new

Looking at the different options going to the right, you can observe in the illustrations below that Niggli’s route on the first part of the leg looses her 30 seconds compared to Ryabkina.

w10-11b

Comparing Niggli and Fasting, you can see that Niggli looses nearly half a minute to Fasting after entering the marsh just ahead of the river crossing. Thus going slightly right and combining Riabkina’s first part of the leg with Niggli’s second part with good execution should be just as fast as direct – the problem is to go far right on the path the first third of the leg.

w10-11d

Comparing Ryabkina with Alexandersson, you see that Ryabkina looses more than half a minute at the last part of the leg. Thus it is possible to run Riabkina’s route in around 14 minutes – but still significantly slower than the direct route.  The reason for it being slower is that it is 500 meter longer without significant parts with a lot better runnability.

w10-11c

Women Long Distance Final: 11-12

Women Long Distance Final: 11-12 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 2:25 +0:00
2. Anastasia Tikhonova 2:28 +0:03
3. Anu Åkerman 2:33 +0:08
4. Minna Kauppi 2:36 +0:11
5. Anni-Maija Fincke 2:37 +0:12
6. Tove Alexandersson 2:41 +0:16
7. Karoliina Sundberg 2:41 +0:16
8. Liga Arniece 2:43 +0:18
9. Mari Fasting 2:44 +0:19
10. Dana Safka Brozkova 2:44 +0:19
14. Lena Eliasson 2:48 +0:23
27. Tatiana Ryabkina 3:18 +0:53
Women Long Distance Final: 11-12 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 49:27 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 49:53 +0:26
3. Minna Kauppi 50:42 +1:15
4. Tove Alexandersson 51:15 +1:48
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 52:04 +2:37
6. Mari Fasting 52:29 +3:02
7. Anni-Maija Fincke 53:04 +3:37
8. Emma Johansson 53:16 +3:49
9. Ida Bobach 54:48 +5:21
10. Catherine Taylor 54:52 +5:25

Short leg to the arena which should be very easy. However, Alexandersson looses 16 seconds, Eliasson 23 and Ryabkina 53(!) seconds. Niggli uses the path to the south to make the control easy – the runners loosing time go more direct or use the path to the north.

w11-12

Women Long Distance Final: 12-13

Women Long Distance Final: 12-13 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 4:58 +0:00
2. Anni-Maija Fincke 5:11 +0:13
3. Minna Kauppi 5:13 +0:15
4. Tatiana Ryabkina 5:16 +0:18
5. Eva Jurenikova 5:16 +0:18
6. Lena Eliasson 5:18 +0:20
7. Mari Fasting 5:19 +0:21
8. Tove Alexandersson 5:22 +0:24
9. Emma Johansson 5:23 +0:25
10. Catherine Taylor 5:23 +0:25
Women Long Distance Final: 12-13 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 54:25 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 55:11 +0:46
3. Minna Kauppi 55:55 +1:30
4. Tove Alexandersson 56:37 +2:12
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 57:20 +2:55
6. Mari Fasting 57:48 +3:23
7. Anni-Maija Fincke 58:15 +3:50
8. Emma Johansson 58:39 +4:14
9. Catherine Taylor 60:15 +5:50
10. Ida Bobach 60:25 +6:00

Niggli pushes hard after the arena passing – winning the first leg after the map exchange with 13 seconds. Eliasson looses another 20 seconds here due to uncertainty at the last part of the leg (“I was no longer offensive in my orienteering”, Eliasson said about her race after the map exchange) – and suddenly Niggli’s lead has gone from 3 seconds to 46 seconds. At this point in the race Kauppi still has a medal – 1:30 behind Niggli and with a gap of 42 seconds down to Alexandersson.

w12-13

Women Long Distance Final: 13-14

Women Long Distance Final: 13-14 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 1:33 +0:00
2. Catherine Taylor 1:37 +0:04
3. Tatiana Ryabkina 1:38 +0:05
4. Sara Luescher 1:40 +0:07
5. Anastasia Tikhonova 1:40 +0:07
6. Anni-Maija Fincke 1:41 +0:08
7. Eva Jurenikova 1:41 +0:08
8. Emma Johansson 1:43 +0:10
9. Tone Wigemyr 1:43 +0:10
10. Natalia Efimova 1:43 +0:10
14. Tove Alexandersson 1:45 +0:12
20. Minna Kauppi 1:48 +0:15
43. Lena Eliasson 2:53 +1:20
Women Long Distance Final: 13-14 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 55:58 +0:00
2. Minna Kauppi 57:43 +1:45
3. Lena Eliasson 58:04 +2:06
4. Tove Alexandersson 58:22 +2:24
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 58:58 +3:00
6. Mari Fasting 59:34 +3:36
7. Anni-Maija Fincke 59:56 +3:58
8. Emma Johansson 60:22 +4:24
9. Catherine Taylor 61:52 +5:54
10. Ida Bobach 62:09 +6:11

On this short leg Eliasson looses her chance of a gold medal – missing the control with 1:20 (either orienteering to the wrong control or doing a direction mistake). Suddenly Kauppi is in silver position before entering the forking section. Eliasson is still ahead of Alexandersson, but the gap is reduced to 18 seconds. See Eliasson’s mistake below.

w13-14

Women Long Distance Final: 14-15

Women Long Distance Final: 14-15 (Legtimes)

1. Natalia Efimova 0:43 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 0:44 +0:01
3. Tatiana Ryabkina 0:44 +0:01 (to #21)
4. Minna Kauppi 0:45 +0:02 (to #21)
5. Catherine Taylor 0:45 +0:02 (to #21)
6. Tone Wigemyr 0:46 +0:03
7. Dana Safka Brozkova 0:46 +0:03 (to #21)
8. Ines Brodmann 0:46 +0:03 (to #21)
9. Anu Åkerman 0:46 +0:03 (to #21)
10. Simone Niggli 0:47 +0:04
11. Tove Alexandersson 0:47 +0:04
16. Anni-Maija Fincke 0:49 +0:06 (to #21)
Women Long Distance Final: 14-15 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 56:45 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 58:48 +2:03
3. Tove Alexandersson 59:09 +2:24
4. Ida Bobach 63:00 +6:15
5. Tone Wigemyr 63:06 +6:21
6. Sara Luescher 63:41 +6:56
7. Eva Jurenikova 64:09 +7:24
8. Anastasia Tikhonova 64:55 +8:10
9. Alison Crocker 65:30 +8:45
10. Sarina Jenzer 66:50 +10:05
19. Minna Kauppi 77:04 +20:19*
20. Tatiana Ryabkina 77:13 +20:28*
23. Anni-Maija Fincke 78:53 +22:08*

No big differences on this small forking loop. Note: From here on you can not trust the total times in the right column anymore due to the forking.

Women Long Distance Final: 15-16

Women Long Distance Final: 15-16 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 0:47 +0:00
2. Emma Johansson 0:50 +0:03 (to #19)
3. Natalia Efimova 0:50 +0:03 (to #19)
4. Tove Alexandersson 0:51 +0:04
5. Minna Kauppi 0:51 +0:04 (to #19)
6. Eva Jurenikova 0:52 +0:05
7. Mari Fasting 0:52 +0:05 (to #19)
8. Ines Brodmann 0:52 +0:05 (to #19)
9. Lena Eliasson 0:53 +0:06 (to #19)
10. Sarina Jenzer 0:53 +0:06
15. Tatiana Ryabkina 0:55 +0:08 (to #19)
16. Anni-Maija Fincke 0:56 +0:09 (to #19)
Women Long Distance Final: 15-16 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 57:32 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 59:41 +2:09
3. Tove Alexandersson 60:00 +2:28
4. Ida Bobach 63:55 +6:23
5. Tone Wigemyr 64:01 +6:29
6. Sara Luescher 64:42 +7:10
7. Eva Jurenikova 65:01 +7:29
8. Anastasia Tikhonova 65:56 +8:24
9. Alison Crocker 66:34 +9:02
10. Sarina Jenzer 67:43 +10:11
18. Minna Kauppi 75:30 +17:58*
19. Tatiana Ryabkina 75:37 +18:05*
21. Anni-Maija Fincke 77:12 +19:40*

No big differences on this small forking loop.

Women Long Distance Final: 16-17

Women Long Distance Final: 16-17 (Legtimes)

1. Mari Fasting 0:44 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 0:47 +0:03
3. Natalia Efimova 0:47 +0:03 (to #20)
4. Simone Niggli 0:49 +0:05
5. Tone Wigemyr 0:49 +0:05
6. Minna Kauppi 0:49 +0:05 (to #20)
7. Emma Johansson 0:49 +0:05 (to #20)
8. Sara Luescher 0:50 +0:06
9. Ida Bobach 0:51 +0:07
10. Liga Arniece 0:51 +0:07
13. Tove Alexandersson 0:52 +0:08
14. Tatiana Ryabkina 0:52 +0:08 (to #20)
15. Anni-Maija Fincke 0:52 +0:08 (to #20)
Women Long Distance Final: 16-17 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 58:21 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 60:28 +2:07
3. Tove Alexandersson 60:52 +2:31
4. Ida Bobach 64:46 +6:25
5. Tone Wigemyr 64:50 +6:29
6. Sara Luescher 65:32 +7:11
7. Eva Jurenikova 65:57 +7:36
8. Anastasia Tikhonova 66:49 +8:28
9. Alison Crocker 67:29 +9:08
10. Sarina Jenzer 68:37 +10:16
18. Minna Kauppi 76:19 +17:58*
19. Tatiana Ryabkina 76:29 +18:08*
22. Anni-Maija Fincke 78:04 +19:43*
Women Long Distance Final: 17-18

Women Long Distance Final: 17-18 (Legtimes)

1. Mari Fasting 5:51 +0:00
2. Simone Niggli 5:57 +0:06
3. Natalia Efimova 6:04 +0:13 (to #15)
4. Tone Wigemyr 6:18 +0:27
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 6:20 +0:29 (to #15)
6. Tove Alexandersson 6:20 +0:29
7. Dana Safka Brozkova 6:22 +0:31 (to #15)
8. Eva Jurenikova 6:22 +0:31
9. Lena Eliasson 6:26 +0:35
10. Ida Bobach 6:28 +0:37
15. Anni-Maija Fincke 6:43 +0:52 (to #15)
27. Minna Kauppi 7:41 +1:50 (to #15)
Women Long Distance Final: 17-18 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 64:18 +0:00
2. Tatiana Ryabkina 65:18 +1:00*
3. Minna Kauppi 65:24 +1:06*
4. Mari Fasting 65:25 +1:07*
5. Anni-Maija Fincke 66:39 +2:21*
6. Lena Eliasson 66:54 +2:36
7. Emma Johansson 67:09 +2:51*
8. Tove Alexandersson 67:12 +2:54
9. Catherine Taylor 68:53 +4:35*
10. Dana Safka Brozkova 70:17 +5:59*

The leg from 17-18 is the leg where Kauppi looses her medal. The Finnish multiple World Champion passes just a few meters beside the control without seeing it – and then searches for 1:50 before she finds the control. Note that Kauppi takes the secure route choice into the control – using a safe attackpoint from the vegetation boundary.

Up to this point on the leg Kauppi had approximately equal speed to Niggli, just loosing some seconds on her routechoice to the right.

Kauppi: – I had really much pressure here in Finland running in front of the big crowd. Maybe it is even too exciting to run here in front of the home crowd, but I have to try to turn it around to an advantage ahead of the middle distance.

The course setter comments that the controls 18 and 19 were two of the trickiest controls in the course were mistakes were expected.

w17-18b

Lena Eliasson also looses 35 seconds here – partly due to route choice were she goes far around in the road – and partly due to uncertainty towards the control.

w17-18a

Alexandersson and Ryabkina also loose nearly half a minute – mostly on the first/middle part of the leg. Running slower and less straight.

w17-18c

Mari Fasting runs a fantastic leg to control 18 – winning the leg with 6 seconds ahead of Niggli, and runs herself into the medal fight here. Suddenly she is equal to Kauppi and Ryabkina – and only half a minute behind Alexandersson. The direct approach is however more risky. To the next control Fasting is again out of the fight for medals after a nearly two minute mistake – running a bad compass direction out of the control and getting uncertain when approaching the path. Finally she also looses Top 6 after another mistake of nearly 2 minutes to 22.

w17-18e

Women Long Distance Final: 18-19

Women Long Distance Final: 18-19 (Legtimes)

1. Minna Kauppi 1:46 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 1:54 +0:08
3. Tatiana Ryabkina 1:57 +0:11 (to #16)
4. Anastasia Tikhonova 1:59 +0:13
5. Ida Bobach 2:01 +0:15
6. Kirti Rebane 2:01 +0:15 (to #16)
7. Dana Safka Brozkova 2:02 +0:16 (to #16)
8. Aija Skrastina 2:06 +0:20 (to #16)
9. Inga Dambe 2:06 +0:20
10. Anu Åkerman 2:06 +0:20 (to #16)
13. Anni-Maija Fincke 2:12 +0:26 (to #16)
14. Tove Alexandersson 2:12 +0:26
27. Simone Niggli 2:38 +0:52
Women Long Distance Final: 18-19 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 66:56 +0:00
2. Minna Kauppi 67:10 +0:14*
3. Tatiana Ryabkina 67:15 +0:19*
4. Lena Eliasson 68:48 +1:52
5. Anni-Maija Fincke 68:51 +1:55*
6. Mari Fasting 68:58 +2:02*
7. Tove Alexandersson 69:24 +2:28
8. Emma Johansson 70:05 +3:09*
9. Catherine Taylor 71:12 +4:16*
10. Dana Safka Brozkova 72:19 +5:23*

On the leg from 18 to 19 Niggli nearly makes it exciting again with her 50 second mistake on a control in the green. It might look like a small inaccuracy when leaving the path. The gap down to Eliasson shrinks down to 1:52 – but still it looks like it is too much.

Niggli: – I had a mistake at control 19. I got a bit nervous I heard that I was half a minute ahead of Lena at the passing, and I know that if she run very well it was too much.

Alexandersson also does a mistake here (similar to Niggli’s), making the fight for silver more interesting – Alexandersson now has an advantage of 30 seconds on Eliasson.

w18-19b

Women Long Distance Final: 19-20

Women Long Distance Final: 19-20 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 4:36 +0:00
2. Tove Alexandersson 4:40 +0:04
3. Catherine Taylor 4:46 +0:10 (to #17)
4. Anastasia Tikhonova 4:48 +0:12
5. Eva Jurenikova 4:50 +0:14
6. Tatiana Ryabkina 4:55 +0:19 (to #17)
7. Anni-Maija Fincke 4:56 +0:20 (to #17)
8. Lena Eliasson 4:57 +0:21
9. Minna Kauppi 4:58 +0:22 (to #17)
10. Emma Johansson 5:01 +0:25 (to #17)
Women Long Distance Final: 19-20 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 71:32 +0:00
2. Minna Kauppi 72:08 +0:36*
3. Tatiana Ryabkina 72:10 +0:38*
4. Lena Eliasson 73:45 +2:13
5. Anni-Maija Fincke 73:47 +2:15*
6. Mari Fasting 74:03 +2:31*
7. Tove Alexandersson 74:04 +2:32
8. Emma Johansson 75:06 +3:34*
9. Catherine Taylor 75:58 +4:26*
10. Dana Safka Brozkova 77:33 +6:01*

Niggli is running fast and again has a best split. No big mistakes by any of the favourites, but Eliasson looses 21 seconds mostly due to uncertainty on the last 100-150 meters towards the control – and also Niggli gains some time by following the path further on the first part of the leg.

w19-20

Women Long Distance Final: 20-21

Women Long Distance Final: 20-21 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 2:15 +0:00
2. Mari Fasting 2:24 +0:09 (to #18)
3. Tove Alexandersson 2:24 +0:09
4. Anastasia Tikhonova 2:25 +0:10
5. Natalia Efimova 2:28 +0:13 (to #18)
6. Eva Jurenikova 2:28 +0:13
7. Anni-Maija Fincke 2:29 +0:14 (to #18)
8. Minna Kauppi 2:31 +0:16 (to #18)
9. Emma Johansson 2:31 +0:16 (to #18)
10. Tone Wigemyr 2:31 +0:16
12. Tatiana Ryabkina 2:32 +0:17 (to #18)
15. Lena Eliasson 2:35 +0:20
Women Long Distance Final: 20-21 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 73:47 +0:00
2. Minna Kauppi 74:39 +0:52*
3. Tatiana Ryabkina 74:42 +0:55*
4. Anni-Maija Fincke 76:16 +2:29*
5. Lena Eliasson 76:20 +2:33
6. Mari Fasting 76:27 +2:40*
7. Tove Alexandersson 76:28 +2:41
8. Emma Johansson 77:37 +3:50*
9. Catherine Taylor 78:33 +4:46*
10. Dana Safka Brozkova 80:17 +6:30*

Again Niggli is very fast – 9 seconds faster than the next runner on a 2 minute leg is quite impressive. Eliasson again looses quite much time – 20 seconds to Niggli and 11 seconds to Alexandersson. Eliasson’s gap to Alexandersson is now down to 8 seconds.

Women Long Distance Final: 21-22

Women Long Distance Final: 21-22 (Legtimes)

1. Simone Niggli 1:10 +0:00
2. Tatiana Ryabkina 1:18 +0:08
3. Emma Johansson 1:19 +0:09
4. Sara Luescher 1:21 +0:11
5. Ines Brodmann 1:21 +0:11
6. Eva Jurenikova 1:22 +0:12
7. Alison Crocker 1:22 +0:12
8. Anni-Maija Fincke 1:23 +0:13
9. Tone Wigemyr 1:23 +0:13
10. Anastasia Tikhonova 1:23 +0:13
12. Minna Kauppi 1:25 +0:15
31. Lena Eliasson 1:39 +0:29
33. Tove Alexandersson 1:41 +0:31
Women Long Distance Final: 21-22 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 74:57 +0:00
2. Lena Eliasson 77:59 +3:02
3. Tove Alexandersson 78:09 +3:12
4. Minna Kauppi 78:29 +3:32
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 78:31 +3:34
6. Anni-Maija Fincke 80:16 +5:19
7. Emma Johansson 81:23 +6:26
8. Mari Fasting 81:43 +6:46
9. Catherine Taylor 82:27 +7:30
10. Tone Wigemyr 82:39 +7:42

A simple leg were both Eliasson and Alexandersson loose half a minute. Eliasson seemingly due to an overly secure route choice going out to the path (might also hav ebeen a direction mistake?) – Alexandersson due to loosing control on the middle of the leg and using some extra time relocating.

w20-21

Women Long Distance Final: 22-23

Women Long Distance Final: 22-23 (Legtimes)

1. Tove Alexandersson 3:56 +0:00
2. Mari Fasting 3:57 +0:01
3. Simone Niggli 4:06 +0:10
4. Lena Eliasson 4:09 +0:13
5. Emma Johansson 4:09 +0:13
6. Minna Kauppi 4:12 +0:16
7. Tatiana Ryabkina 4:12 +0:16
8. Dana Safka Brozkova 4:17 +0:21
9. Anastasia Tikhonova 4:19 +0:23
10. Sarina Jenzer 4:19 +0:23
17. Anni-Maija Fincke 4:35 +0:39
Women Long Distance Final: 22-23 (Total times)

1. Simone Niggli 79:03 +0:00
2. Tove Alexandersson 82:05 +3:02
3. Lena Eliasson 82:08 +3:05
4. Minna Kauppi 82:41 +3:38
5. Tatiana Ryabkina 82:43 +3:40
6. Anni-Maija Fincke 84:51 +5:48
7. Emma Johansson 85:32 +6:29
8. Mari Fasting 85:40 +6:37
9. Tone Wigemyr 87:04 +8:01
10. Catherine Taylor 87:06 +8:03

The leg to the last control decides the fight for about silver for Alexandersson against Eliasson. The course setter here comments that the plan was that if it was tight for victory on control 22, the idea was that it would be possible to decide the race by taking the straight option. And this is exactly what Alexandersson did – gaining 13 seconds on Eliasson and stepping up to silver position.

w22-23

Niggli also runs direct, but does not execute the leg well. This costs her 10 seconds, but nothing is at stake for Niggli – who wins a clear victory.

Performance index and graphical splits comparison

Finally a quick comparison of the overall performance of the runners. First the graphical splits analysis (click for bigger figure).

wsplit

Niggli’s curve is clearly flatter than the others – with many best leg splits. Alexandersson has a quite steady race – loosing steadily to the best split time except for a few small mistakes on the last leg. Eliasson has a completely different curve on the part before arene passing than after – the long leg taking some energy and the approach also becoming less offensive. Kauppi has a race development which is clearly good enough for silver – except for the mistake on the last loop.

Taking a look at the performance index below (click for larger figure), you can see that Simone Niggli mostly has her own level at around 105%. Eliasson however has a peak even higher up – representing her fantastic performance on the long leg to 11 – but the rest of her race is even below Alexandersson and Kauppi. Also interesting to note is that the only other runner who manages Niggli’s level for a significant part of the race is Mari Fasting – she has however a quite large peak also below 100% performance index.

performance_longf

Looking at average time loss per leg (click for larger figure), legs 18, 19 and 20 were the ones which highest time losses (as expected – being in the green). Note also time losses for leg 2, 3 and 4 (also controls in more tricky terrain) and finally the long leg. More than 50% of the runners loose time on the leg to control 19.

The average time loss and error frequency is calculated according to the performance on the rest of the course for all runners using a quite agressive setting with an error threshold of 5 seconds / 5%.

averagetimelossperleg

errorfrequency

About Jan Kocbach

Jan Kocbach is the founder of WorldofO.com - taking care of everything from site development to writing articles, photography and analysis.

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3 comments

  1. Just quick response- if WOC long distance is the most important competition in this Year why winners of this event earn less WRE rating points than, for instance, “Portugal o’meeting” or “Andalusia Open” long distance winners in February? Maybe there are something wrong with rating of events?

  2. Thank you Jan for this excellent (as usual analysis) !

    I have 2 more things in my head
    – what about grouping with the 2 min interval (not especially for the podium girls, but after them)
    – what about the butterfly system . Just like in France 7 of the 10 best men ran the small loop first. All of the girl medalists as well…